Why Every Republican Should Vote For Trump To Avoid A Permanent Democratic Majority In The U.S.

Republicans should vote for Donald Trump
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I have been a supporter of Ted Cruz, and I still hesitate to recognize Mr. Trump as a Republican or a conservative.  However, as a conservative and a Republican, I will vote for Mr. Trump because voting for Mr. Trump is the only way remaining in order to avoid a permanent Democratic majority in the United States.

Republicans have lost the popular vote in all but one of the six Presidential elections since 1992.  And one major factor in explaining these losses is demographics.  In 1980, Ronald Reagan won 56% of the White vote, and won the election by winning 44 states.  In contrast, Mitt Romney won a whopping 59% of the White vote in 2012, and still lost the election in an electoral college landslide.  The reason is that non-Hispanic whites accounted for 85% of the electorate in 1980, but only 74% of the electorate in 2012.  In other words, there are more minorities who are also increasing voting for the Democratic party.

One of the increasing minority groups that is also voting increasingly Democratic is Hispanics.  In 1980, only 56% of Hispanics voted for the Democratic party, whereas in 2012, a whopping 71% of Latinos voted for President Obama.  Similarly, another increasing minority group is Asians, who have solidly voted Democratic since 2000.

The effect of increasing minority groups, including Hispanics, on politics is also clearly visible on the State level, with California being a visible example.  While Ronald Reagan was from California and easily carried the State, California has not voted Republican in a Presidential election since 1988—and with increasing margins.  In 1996, Democrats won only 51% of the votes in California, whereas in 2012, they won more than 60%.  In parallel, in 1990, only 10% of California’s electorate were Hispanic, whereas that number grew to 23% in 2012.  In other words, California now has a lot more voting Hispanics, who are also voting Democratic in increasing margins.

The above trends are expected to continue:  meaning there will be an increasing percentage of minority voters who will also vote increasingly Democratic–moving towards a permanent Democratic majority in the US just like in California today.  If Donald Trump delivers on his campaign promises regarding immigration, he will do two major things that are essential for the long term viability of the Republican party:  He will slow the influx of illegal immigrants who ultimately produce Democratic voting citizens, and he will eliminate from the equation a major issue (illegal immigrants) that tends to swing minority voters to the Democratic party.  Absent those measures, the Republican party can expect to continue its failure to win the popular vote in Presidential elections, just like the five out of the past six elections since 1992.  Therefore, for the sake of long term viability of the Republican party, every Republican must vote for Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton.

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